Published: November 6, 2008 NY Times

The global economic slump that has curbed energy demand and pushed oil prices down in recent months may provide only a short-lived respite for consumers, according to the world’s top energy forecaster.

Jens Schlueter/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

The International Energy Agency predicts oil prices as high as $200 a barrel by 2030. Above, a Total refinery in Germany.

The International Energy Agency, which advises industrialized nations on energy policy, warned on Thursday that the supply shortfalls that pushed oil prices into triple-digit territory this year are far from resolved, and could lead to a new period of high prices. Read the complete Post.

“We are an exceptional model of the human race. We no longer know how to produce food. We no longer can heal ourselves. We no longer raise our young. We have forgotten the names of the stars, fail to notice the phases of the moon. We do not know the plants and they no longer protect us. We tell ourselves we are the most powerful specimens of our kind who have ever lived. But when the lights are off we are helpless. We cannot move without traffic signals. We must attend classes in order to learn by rote numbered steps toward love or how to breast-feed our baby. We justify anything, anything at all by the need to maintain our way of life. And then we go to the doctor and tell the professionals we have no life. We have a simple test for making decisions: our way of life, which we cleverly call our standard of living, must not change except to grow yet more grand. We have a simple reality we live with each and every day: our way of life is killing us.”

published Feb. 2002

By Rick Balfour, VPO

Plan B Questions are mandatory for all civic, provincial and federal politiicans.

Poor answers or no answers deserve no votes; we need leaders with both guts and vision.

We need action, not more talk. We have little time to change.

1. How high is your own concsciousness, relative to Global run away impacts on our communities, about Peak Oil, Global Warming and the inevitable shift in job markets and mass migration from difficult areas to highly preferred areas. Is it higher than most, are you ahead enough in the issues to lead and be proactive?

Take a page or ten minutes. No excuses, no glib answers.
Read the complete Post.

From economist Mike Nickerson:

A Better Path for Progress

The surest way out of difficulty is to set sight
on a goal beyond the trouble, and to move in that
direction.

As many wonder about the present financial
crisis, the time is ripe to suggest a new goal that will
serve us better than the one that caused the
problems. The election doubles the opportunity.

Steps you can take to help pave the way for a
Canadian Genuine Progress Index (GPI) are posted
at: http://www.superaje.com/~sustain5

The short story is that we want to find out
which candidates in the present election would
support a GPI if they are elected. Read the complete Post.

Will PEAK OIL devour Vancouver’s Politicians?
Or, will our politicians battle INERTIA and defeat the monstrous status quo?

Wed. Oct. 15, 2008, 7 - 9:30 PM
BCIT Downtown Campus
555 Seymour St., Vancouver

WATCH WITH FASCINATION as our panelists reveal their plans for addressing these critical issues!

• Is the Lower Mainland ready for a LOW-ENERGY FUTURE?

• Is GATEWAY a solution to our future transportation needs, and – if not – what is?

• Is there a plan to make sure we’ll all have enough FOOD to eat next year and 20 years from now?

• How do we reshape our pattern of community for a world with less and LESS OIL?

• How do we ensure an adequate ENERGY SUPPLY for the Lower Mainland?

Before you cast a vote in the next city election…
FIND OUT what these candidates plan to do.

Introducing Mayoral Candidates:
Gregor ROBERTSON - candidate Mayor Vision Party
Councillor Peter LADNER - candidate Mayor NPA
Betty KRAWCZYK - candidate Mayor Work Less Party

With:
Councillor Suzanne ANTON - candidate Vancouver City Council
Mayor Derek CORRIGAN - candidate Mayor Burnaby
Council Candidate Andrea REIMER – candidate Vancouver City Council

JOIN US for a rousing panel discussion and SEE FOR YOURSELF how some of the Lower Mainland’s top politicians PERSONALLY plan to address the many problems posed by PEAK OIL.

YOU WON’T WANT TO MISS THIS.

Wednesday October 15, 2008
7 - 9:30 PM
BCIT Downtown Campus
555 Seymour St., Vancouver
(a few blocks up from Waterfront station)
Tickets $7 in advance, $10 at the door.

Advanced Tickets:

http://vancouverpeakoil.org
Brought to you by Vancouver Peak Oil and The Great Bear Pub, and sponsored by:
The Cooperative Auto Network

Opposition to the provincial government’s Gateway Project is heating up. But it may be too late.

Michael McCarthy
Vancouver Courier
Original article
Friday, September 26, 2008

From Anthony Perl’s condo in Coal Harbour you can see small commuter planes, cruise ships, freighters loaded with containers and the Seabus trundling towards North Vancouver. At writer Richard Gilbert’s Gastown apartment, you can view the CPR yards, the West Coast Express, a helipad, tourist buses, a car rental company and heavy trucks working the port. What they all have in common is their dependence on fossil fuels, a resource rapidly escalating in price as it diminishes in supply. It’s also a resource that the B.C. government has picked as the backbone of its multi-billion dollar Gateway Project.

Perl, professor of political science and director of the urban studies program at Simon Fraser University, predicts the days of fossil-fuelled transportation are coming to an end. In his new book Transport Revolutions: Moving People and Freight without Oil, co-authored with Gilbert, Perl says that any urban planning centred around the use of fossil fuels is extremely shortsighted and bound to fail. Many other local urban planners, neighbourhood groups and activists also see Gateway as a politically motivated quick fix that is bound to have negative ramifications on the Lower Mainland in the future.

“I’m not suggesting any sort of conspiracy,” says Perl, “or that selected people are getting together in back rooms to plan this, but obviously some people stand to make an awful lot of money from building low-density, unclustered, single-family developments throughout the Fraser Valley.” Read the complete Post.

Freaking people into states of fear is not productive. However, simply coddling the desire for “positive” news is also not productive.

To the extent that we desire only the truth, as elusive as it may be, the stronger and more prepared we are to deal with the challenges we face as our society inevitably changes.

Is there truth with optimism?

I often speak to high school and university students. Many are terrified and/or angry about the state of the world, the wastefulness of society, and visible ecological destruction. Such reactions remind me of my learning in my youth that our world could be vaporized by nuclear weapons. What? Are these people insane? Turns out, yes, some of our leaders are literally sociopathic and not that bright. When we’re young, our families and teachers protected us from certain disturbing realities. If we remain naïve or just ill-informed, the discovery of alarming truths about our world may create shock to our emotional system. We might react with denial, rage, or mindless television. However, the best way to never again be disillusioned is to not be illusioned in the first place.

I’m optimistic. I believe society can change. I’ve witnessed society change to achieve civil rights, women’s rights, to end slavery, or cure disease. But before we can be optimistic we must be realistic, otherwise our optimism is delusional.

Okay, most people can grok that. So then, here’s the realism: CO2 in the atmosphere is warming the planet, ancient methane now bubbles up from deep Arctic permafrost, we lose forests and topsoil daily, energy is limited and will decline, deserts grow, toxins kill land and water, aquifers shrink, rivers dry up, seafood species decline, 24,000 people will starve to death today, 75 million new humans are added to the planet each year, we now face the inevitable laws of exponential growth in natural systems, and our leaders remain virtually clueless and certainly ineffective. Our naïve presumptions of population and economic growth are not remotely tenable in timescales that account for the next few generations.

Okay, take a deep breath. This is just natural reality demanding our attention. First point on the optimism track is this: our solutions must work on the same scale as the problem. We’re not going to change this with vegan shoes and hybrid cars. We need a vast new socio-ecological paradigm shift. All the little “baby steps” are fine, but not remotely enough. So yes, change the light bulbs, get a bus pass, take out your compost, make soil, recycle everything. Great. That’s just the baseline of common sense.

But now that we’ve been realistic, we can see that the optimistic track will demand a large-scale paradigm shift, and as far as I can see it comes down to this:

1. ecology
2. community.

The two things that industrialism has trashed.

So: Take back your local community and integrate it with your local ecology. This transition will be as much about resilience as about “solutions.” Learn how ecological systems work. This is not about integrating “green” into all our bad habits, but rather about integrating humanity back into the ecology that sustains life. All human enterprise must – absolutely must – conform to ecological laws, demands, patterns, and systems. We are talking about a transition from poor, proud, mistaken Homo Industrialus to a more modest, but much happier Homo Ecologus. This is not a question of piddling around with “10% recycled paper” in Starbucks coffee cups.

So, by being realistic, by facing our anxieties, we’ve actually arrived at an authentic path to optimism rather than the delusional.

Rex Weyler
www.rexweyler.com

 

The financial mess in the U.S. will negatively affect Canada.

It turns out the real hurricane blew through Wall Street last week, not Galveston. This morning, Manhattan is strewn chest-deep with the debris of banking and at this hour (seven a.m.) nobody knows how far, deep, and wide the damage will spread. The fear, of course, is that we are witnessing a classic “house-of-cards” or “dominos-in-a-row,” situation, and that the death of Lehman Brothers and Merrill Lynch will cascade into a generalized collapse of the entire consensus of value that supports mediums of exchange.
At least one thing ought to be clear: this has happened due to the negligence and misfeasance of the regulating authorities, namely the Republican Party, and that now all the hoopla surrounding Sarah Palin can be swept away revealing that group to be what they actually are: the party that wrecked America. I hope one or two Barack Obama campaign officials are reading this blog. You must commence the re-branding of the opposition right now. The Republicans must be clearly identified as, the party that wrecked America. Read the complete Post.

Investors are currently asking: So, how is it that as the U.S. debt increases, bankrupt corporations get bailed out for billions, U.S. credit rating falls, growth declines, unemployment increases, and yet the U.S. dollar rises steadily?

We’ve been asking our Investment friends this question, and In simplest
terms, this is the answer we’re getting:

“It’s all manipulated.”

“Normally” in this environment of shrinking global growth, recession-level
numbers, and US bankruptcies, the US dollar would be sliding, and gold,
silver and commodity prices could be expected to rise dramatically, as they
were in the spring.

Meanwhile, global oil production remains flat, U.S. strategic reserves
shrink as the U.S. dips into this stash of oil, the Saudi’s just announced a
flow reduction, and with even 3.5% global economic growth and China still
attempting 10% growth, oil prices should be rising.

None of this is happening. Why?

Again, when we ask experienced day traders we hear simply: “A U.S.
election.” Read the complete Post.

Interior employees accused in sex, gift scandal
By DINA CAPPIELLO – 12 hours ago
Original article

Favorite VPO quote ever - “Sexual relationships with prohibited sources cannot, by definition, be arms-length.”

WASHINGTON (AP) — Government brokers responsible for collecting billions of dollars in federal oil royalties operated in a “culture of substance abuse and promiscuity” that included having sex with energy company employees, accepting lavish gifts and rigging contracts to favored firms, investigators said Wednesday.

The alleged transgressions involve 13 former and current Interior Department employees in Denver and Washington. Their alleged improprieties include influencing contracts, working part-time as private oil consultants and having sexual relationships with — and accepting golf and ski trips, snowboarding lessons and concert tickets from — oil company employees, according to three reports released Wednesday by the Interior Department’s inspector general.

The investigations expose a small group of individuals “wholly lacking in acceptance of or adherence to government ethical standards,” wrote Inspector General Earl E. Devaney, whose office spent more than two years and $5.3 million on the investigation. Read the complete Post.

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